The replacement administrator for Astral Codex Ten identifies as female.
Will the implied probability of this question stay below 25% for at least 12 hours and then stay above 50% for at least 12 hours?
Will this market have at least M$31,415 invested into it by Pi Day (March 14th)?
Will at least 75% of the USA COVID-19 cases between 1/1/22 and 2/28/23 occur between 1/1/22 and 2/28/22?
Will more than 5,000 people be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian War this year?
Will Russia control Kyiv as of April 2, 2022
Who will be the administrator of the AstralCodexTen Discord server on January 1, 2023?
A market on Manifold Markets will be a key point in some sort of significant social drama in 2022
Xi Jinping will successfully mediate a talk between Vladimir Puti and at least 5 NATO leaders by March 15th, 2022.
Will Chirag do a backflip by 2022-03-04T23:59:59?